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After the Olympics: What's the future of Spain?

September 8, 2008

The Spanish national team is the most successful European team of recent years. The silver medal at the Olympics only confirmed this trend. Besides the coaching question that reigns at the moment, I will today look at the future in terms of player material.

The core of the Spanish team is of course the Golden Generation of the 1980-born players: Pau Gasol, Juanca Navarro, Felipe Reyes, Raul Lopez and Berni Rodriguez were all born that year and alone would form a starting five capable of lots of wins. If you add players from ’79 and ’81 — I’m speaking of Alex Mumbru and Jose Manuel Calderon, you have a super-strong core of players at about 32 years old for London 2012. Spain’s big advantage, however, is that they have already an impressive number of quality players to take over the lead if the “old” guys start to slow down. The 1985-born Rudy Fernandez and Marc Gasol will bring their energy for a long time to come in the national team.

The question about both is how they will adapt to the NBA game. With Gasol and Calderon, Spain will have four NBA players; how this impacts the national team must be clarified. And if you add the possibility of Ricky Rubio joining the NBA within the nexxxxxt (no typo – just your last letter to win some free k1x stuff) four years, nearly half of the Spanish team will be built on NBA players.

But let’s check the rest of the team, especially the two older players. Jorge Garbajosa will probably not stay with the team until 2012. Since his injury, his impact on the team has decreased and how his comeback to Europe this year works out remains to be seen. The other older guy — albeit in a different situation — is Carlos Jimenez. Jimenez’ impact has probably never been greater than it is at the moment, and he was particularly present in the big games. His experience is highly necessary for the team. However, I don’t see him staying with the squad until the London Olympics in four years, when he would be 36.

So it looks as though the Spanish team will mostly stay the same until London 2012 except for maybe two or three players. And all of them are wings. Who could earn a spot in coming seasons? The first name to mention of course is Victor Claver, who was among the last cuts to the team. The power forward from Pamesa will probably move into the team in replacement of Jimenez or Garbajosa if either retires. But the coaching decision will also have an impact here. If the team wants to remain with experienced guys, Claver may have to wait one or two more tournaments.

Another player that we could see joining the team is Fernando San Emeterio. His move to TAU will give him lots of experience in the Euroleague and his creativity could be a nice addition to the team. Victor Sada is also on the edge of joining the national team while Coach Reneses also used Juanjo Triguero during the preparation phase. When looking into the younger range of players for the wing positions, Albert Moncasi who recently left Barcelona to see more minutes, could be an interesting player to follow for the 2012 tournament, too. My prediction for the 2012 roster would therefore be the following.

Guards: Rubio, Calderon, Navarro, Fernandez, Lopez;

Forwards: Reyes, Mumbru, Claver, San Emeterio, Garbajosa;

Centers: Marc Gasol, Pau Gasol.

(Just in case you haven’t found the K1X&BallinEurope keyword: k1x) for the second part check k1x.com

Sep 8, 2008ballineurope
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This post was published on September 8, 2008
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Comments: 15
  1. Maku
    16 years ago

    Jimenez has already said publicly that he retires from NT.

    ReplyCancel
  2. carlos
    16 years ago

    Maku is right! Jimenez won’t play anymore.
    As for the people you have said, you’ve forgotten a really good PG that is playing for portland in the NBA, even though he isn’t having a lot of minutes Sergio is a guy to watch for the national team.

    ReplyCancel
  3. MJ23
    16 years ago

    You must be crazy to think Navarro, Lopez, Garbajosa and Mumbru will play in London. I also have some doubts about Pau, Calderon and Reyes due to their current and possible injuries will be able to contribute on the same level. Those three get injured year in and year out and their bodies won’t last long. Also NBA gorillaz can break Marc and especially Fernandens who looks fragile to me. So we’re left with Rubio, Claver and San Emeterio + whole bunch of youngsters around and future doesn’t look nice for spanardians at all.

    ReplyCancel
  4. jor
    16 years ago

    MJ23, you must be kidding. Doubts about Reyes, Calderón and Navarro and Gasol? No way, they will be playing for the NT in London 2012.

    ReplyCancel
  5. Álvaro
    16 years ago

    I agree with San Emeterio and Claver choices right know… but 2012 is very far, and there are other names such as Saúl Blanco, Carlos Suárez, Alberto Jodar…

    PG possition will have doubts. Both Calderon and Rubio seems big players. If you go to find the third, you’ll never know: Sergio R, Sergi Llull, Quino Colom, Víctor Sada, Pau Ribas…

    We’ll see

    ReplyCancel
  6. Alberto
    16 years ago

    For sure MJ23 is kidding. Spain has a lot of young players that can replace this gold generation. Maybe not a the same level, but of course capable to compete against the best teams in Europe. Sergio Rodríguez, Ricky, Llull, Sada, Ribas, Blanco, San Emeterio, Rudy, Claver, Triguero, Marc, Xavi Rey… That’s a whole team of players under 1985 who can really give a lot of triumphs to Spain in near future. The only problem may be the big man. No one looks like dominant in the way Pau can be. But of course, there will never be another Pau…

    ReplyCancel
  7. Christophe
    16 years ago

    @all

    of course Spain has a lot of interesting prospects. However, I don’t think that they will be better in 2012 than most of the current NT players.
    Guys that are now playing the U18 tournaments won’t be ready except being exceptional talents to compete for a medal in 2012 in my opinion. That’s why I did not consider players like Jodar for example.

    ReplyCancel
  8. Brandon Hoffman
    16 years ago

    Spain is going to be a force in the next Olympics. But what are their prospects in the 14-18 year old age bracket? Is there another Ricky Rubio or Pau Gasol caliber talent in the pipeline?

    ReplyCancel
  9. Jaime
    16 years ago

    Hi Brandon,

    no there is no other Ricky Rubio in our U-18 or U-16 teams… nor in the World.
    But it does not really matter, and the example is exactly the other player you mention: Pau Gasol. He was not a dominant player at all until he turned 21.

    Of course he was an interesting prospect. He was a member of our U-19 World Champions in Lisbon at 1999, but not a star of that team.

    Rubio is playing pro in the arguably second best league in the world since he was 14… it’s thus a very different story…

    ReplyCancel
  10. Brandon Hoffman
    16 years ago

    Jaime,

    From most accounts, Rubio is a phenomenal talent. And after watching him in the Olympics, I won’t refute that.

    But does Spain have another talented crop of NBA prospects in their program?

    Argentina was solid for years. But they’re tapering off now that Ginobili and company are getting older. They don’t have young talent to replace them.

    Will the same thing happen to Spain?

    ReplyCancel
  11. Alberto
    16 years ago

    @ Brandon, I wrote before a whole team of players between 1985 and 1988 that could be prepared to play in London. In that team you have Ricky, Rudy, Marc and Claver (if he get more competitive, of course); all of them can make it at NBA level. Anyway at european level, that could be a very good team, with players like Llull, Sada, Blanco, San Emeterio, Xavi Rey (I hope)…

    ReplyCancel
  12. laurent
    16 years ago

    I think the more nba players you have in your roster the more your are in trouble . You just have to check what happen to the french or the serbia national team.
    I can’t imagine the generation 80 reaching the olympics games of 2012 with all his nba players
    The problem is to find another dominant big man like Pau Gasol ( once in the generation talent ) i haven’t see one in the junior ( where i notice a really lack of size)
    It give a good team but not a exceptional one . The team might reach his pinacle in the next world championship and after decline like the argentine one .

    ReplyCancel
  13. Alberto
    16 years ago

    I don’t think they’ll decline as Argentine. I mean, Argentine doesn’t have players, and Spain has a lot, maybe not to win championship, but… we’ll see…

    ReplyCancel
  14. Luis
    16 years ago

    The only championships the Spanish can dream about winning are the ones where the U.S. is not playing.

    ReplyCancel
  15. Patrick
    16 years ago

    The current generation in the best one that Spain has ever had. I do not think that other players as good as Gasol, Calderon and & will appear soon in Spain´s roster. Nevertheless I think that in 4 years Spain will still have an extraordinary team with Gasol bros., Calderon, Rudy, Ricky, and so on and so forth. They will have chances to win the golden medal, of course. The problem will arise in 10 years, that is, when Gasol, Calderon and others will retire. But perhaps other stars will appear in Spain´s league, who knows.

    ReplyCancel

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ballineurope
16 years ago 15 Comments FIBA, MoreCarlos Jimenez, Jose Calderon, Juan Carlos Navarro, Marc Gasol, Pau Gasol, Ricky Rubio, Rudy Fernandez
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