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Momentum shift! (Or, fearless predictions for Eurobasket 2009 day six)

September 12, 2009
Gasol and Spain: Backs to the wall

Gasol and Spain: Backs to the wall

Two days may not seem like much in reality (thus the bliss of a three-day weekend); in Eurobasket 2009, the 48 hours off for Group F teams could prove to be the most crucial stretch of the tournament.

Today’s thought: Beware shifts in momentum.

Fearless predictions for tonight’s three matches follow.

Turkey v. Spain. Turkey starts the second round with the only 2-0 record in Group F and on a torrid pace, indeed. Ilyasova, Turkoglu and the boys have forced other teams to play their game while averaging a Eurobasket-high 88.3 points per game whilst shooting 54 percent from the floor, second-best among remaining teams.

Meanwhile, the world awaits Team Spain to emerge from its clumsy shell and play up to its superstar-studded potential. In scoring 77 points a game, the Spaniards have given up over 75 per and averaged an incredible 16 turnovers in the first three games. BiE fearless prediction: Momentum shift! Turkey drops a wee bit off the torrid pace and Spain manages to do enough to win unconvingly.

Poland v. Serbia. It’s nice that Poland has ridden the home-court advantage for a few games and this ragtag bunch led by out-of-their-heads performances from Marcin Gortat, Maciej Lampe, and David Logan are certainly loveable. But seriously, isn’t Team Serbia simply the better, deeper team here? BiE fearless prediction: Momentum shift! 13th man ain’t enough for Poland today. Serbia wins comfortably.

Lithuania v. Slovenia. Slovenia has been one of Eurobasket 2009’s pleasant surprises thus far. No Rasho Nesterovic, Sani Becirovic, Sasha Vujacic or Beno Udrih? No problem! Relying on old hands like Jaka Lakovic and up-and-comers such as Erazem Lorbek, Team Slovenia could well have gone 3-0 in round one, had not Spain fortuitously remembered they were Spain in the fourth quarter of their game three matchup.

Like Spain, Team Lithuania has had tons of trouble getting the engine started in Eurobasket; unlike Spain, Lithuania begins round two with its backs against the wall and a poor 0-2 record. Surely Ramunas Butautas will find a way to cohesiveness in two days off. Surely Lithuania is better than they’ve played thus far. Maybe. BiE fearless prediction: With no compelling argument other than “Momentum shift!” we’re going Team Lithuania for the win after a close game in which they do *not* blow a late lead.

Sep 12, 2009ballineurope
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This post was published on September 12, 2009
Fearless predictions for Eurobasket 2009 day five Best of the (basketball) net: Never Gonna Give You Up edition
Comments: 5
  1. utkusu
    15 years ago

    No momentum shift for Spain!

    ReplyCancel
  2. migala
    15 years ago

    What an amazing coach Spain has… There are many things which are not working in Team Spain, but the most crucial of them is that there is not chemestry between Scariolo and the players and he takes weird decisions in key moments.

    ReplyCancel
  3. kodaman
    15 years ago

    win unconvingly????another loss for spain.i’m sorry ,
    their superstar-studded potential wasn’t on the court ….

    ReplyCancel
  4. Teo
    15 years ago

    well, you should feel for the coach of spain. he has seen that conventional methods don’t work this year with this team. so he needs unconventional methods. for instance the llull dunk in the end was a great idea…didn’t work, but noone saw that coming.
    I think it’s not his fault his players can’t keep it together. many turnovers, travels, rubio threes out of nowhere…it’s not the coach, it’s the players.
    and turkey has started to impress i have to say, even with a weak game by hedo they were a machine today. weird ref, though…people were being hacked in that game.

    ReplyCancel
  5. Ben
    15 years ago

    everybody has to stop overlooking Turkey in all sports. basketball team was 6th in the last world champs, received silver before in european and has been solid in many other competitions. It is not justice to keep calling a surprise package. Turkish basketball is in the ivy league of the world basket. Turkey won this game convincingly despite the fact that Hedo was injured and had only 2 points and Turkish 3 point scoring percentage was miserable compared to its historical average. Wake up and smell the Turkey!

    Hey also, whoever is predicting games for this site really is not successful, makes you wonder. It is time to get real.

    ReplyCancel

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ballineurope
15 years ago 5 Comments EuroLeague, FIBA, MoreErazem Lorbek, Ersan Ilyasova, Eurobasket 2009, FIBA, Hedo Turkoglu, Jaka Lakovic, Pau Gasol, Ramunas Butautas, Team Lithuania, Team Poland, Team Serbia, Team Slovenia, Team Spain, Team Turkey
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