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Betting on basketball: MVP, tops in points, rebounds, assists

September 6, 2009

Tomorrow is the day: Eurobasket 2009 finally tips off. Naturally, Euroleague/Ball in Europe sponsor SportingBet.com has a plethora of odds and lines for your amusement, including some intriguing fodder for discussion in the form of individual-awards proposition bets.

So you think you know not only who’s going to stand atop the podium when it’s over, but who’ll be tournament MVP, top scorer, top rebounder, top passer, eh? Care to make it interesting?

Tournament MVP
If you think Spain is going to cruise through this tournament, immolating teams along the way with ease, you’re not alone. You’ll also have a heck of a time deciding which Spaniard will be holding the MVP trophy at the end of this one.

You can choose between six of the top 10 favorites to take the trophy: Pau Gasol (5/3 to win the award), Juan Carlos Navarro (16/5), Rudy Fernandez (18/1), Felipe Reyes (22/1), Marc Gasol (22/1) and Ricky Rubio (25/1). The lowest odds for non-Team Spain members include Tony Parker (9/1), Vassilis Spanoulis (14/1), and Hedo Turkoglu (16/1).

BiE prediction: Even if Spain takes it all (which is also not a 100% convincing scenario), they won’t cruise. And since we’ve already got Lithuania penned in as a surprise, the advice here is to throw a few Euros at Linas Kleiza (20/1). Despite his (mostly unappreciated) great play in the NBA, this dude has yet to really break loose and establish himself as one of the world’s elite. He will in this tournament.

Top scorer
It’s hard to argue a longshot against the current top five favorites Parker (41/20), Navarro (16/5), Pau (7/2), Turkoglu (12/1), and Kleiza (16/1) – i mean, it’s gotta be one of these guys, right?

At just over 2/1 payout, Parker would appear to be the pick here, given the man’s propensity for taking over in important international games. Also tempting is Turkoglu, who’s certainly the best bet in this tournament to lead his own team in points.

(Anybody like Boris Diaw at 125/1, by the way…?)

Most rebounds
Think this one’s up for grabs? Take a look at the tiptop of Sporting Bet’s table:

MVP material?

MVP material?

Andris Biedrins: 7/2
Ersan Ilyasova: 21/5
Ioannis Bourousis: 6/1
Pau Gasol: 7/1
Marcin Gortat: 8/1
Erazem Lorbek: 11/1
Rony Turiaf: 14/1 (down from 16/1)
Marc Gasol: 16/1
Darius Lavrinovic: 18/1
Nenad Krstic: 20/1
Lior Eliyahu: 20/1

Covering Biedrins here would not be a move for the faint-hearted: After all, it doesn’t take much imagination to forecast Latvia maybe surviving three games but definitely not four. Logic would therefore dictate that Bourousis is the smartest bet if only because most have Greece making the final four at least, but quite a few names on the above list could contend in this category under this premise. Play Bourousis if you will, but hedge with at least one of the others above as well.

Of note, though perhaps questionable significance: the line of 14/1 on Turiaf’s is down from 16/1 when these prop bets were first posted.

Most assists
Guess who? Yep, it’s another Parker-Rubio showdown, with Tony the favorite by a sliver-then margin of 11/4 to 3/1. You gotta like either of two here; some good insurance could be provided with a small covering of Roko Ukic at 8/1. (He’ll be starting off against Greece, Macedonia and Israel — yeah, Ukic can grab a few boards in the first round, methinks.)

For more information on these bets and lots of others concerning Eurobasket 2009, click on the logo or banner at right for more information.

Tomorrow: Who can you bet on to take it all…?

Sep 6, 2009ballineurope
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This post was published on September 6, 2009
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Comments: 2
  1. guru
    16 years ago

    I couldn’t help but notice whille reading this article : you describe Kleiza as a guard? and also that Ilysova (it should be Ilyasova I think) plays for Greece???

    ReplyCancel
  2. Os Davis
    16 years ago

    Thanks for the heads up, Guru. Just dumb typos…now corrected.

    ReplyCancel
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ballineurope
16 years ago 3 Comments EuroLeague, FIBA, MoreAndris Biedrins, Boris Diaw, Darius Lavrinovic, Erazem Lorbek, Ersan Ilyasova, Eurobasket 2009, Felipe Reyes, Hedo Turkoglu, Ioannis Bourousis, Juan Carlos Navarro, Linas Kleiza, Lior Eliyahu, Marc Gasol, Marcin Gortat, Nenad Krstic, Pau Gasol, Ricky Rubio, Roko Ukic, Rony Turiaf, Rudy Fernandez, Tony Parker, Vassilis Spanoulis
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