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Maybe the Perfect Bracket for NCAA, Better than Getting Struck by Lightning

March 26, 2021

With odds of 1 to 120 billion, you have significantly better odds during a lightning storm. Because of this, the March madness brings us the most perfect odds one can imagine. So, whether you can win the lottery or pick a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket. Though every single of the brackets stands busted, this is going to be a record-breaking affair.

From college basketball fans, critics and enthusiasts, to people put months into figuring out the potential champions. From just a random fan pick to this, you have definitely not come even close to a March Madness perfect before. Because of this, there is a lot of energy this time.

Similar to sports betting, many attempts to nail the bracket every year, when millions of people fill out their NCAA Tournament figures. It has become a huge part of enjoying a game night. Let us take a look at some of the unthinkable odds that can correctly predict all the 63 matches or games of the tournament.

So far, nobody has succeeded but March Madness makes it sure that nobody will ever will. Because this time around the chances of picking all the 63 games correct is even harder than random. That is, a ridiculous and unimaginable 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. Yes, this number is so huge that no computer can crunch the numbers. This is mathematically called 9.2 quintillions. That is, a lot more than trillions of dollars that Bezos and Apple have.

So, putting this figure into perspective, we mean that if we convert it to seconds, it would mean 292 billion years. That is incredibly huge, and so far there is nothing in the universe that comes even close to this number. And, because nobody fills out brackets entirely randomly, the odds of getting 63 of the 63 are not going to be crackable. No one can bust it with any random effort. However, with serious knowledge and luck, a lot of these are possible to predict.

In 2020, the NCAA collected data from the Basketball Challenge Game to predict that a single player has 1 in 120 billion of picking a perfect bracket. The best way to understand this number is to see it as an extremely unlikely event. So, any random event such as lighting is more likely to occur than picking a perfect bracket.

In any typical season over 540,000 players from high schools, basketball teams across the US participate in these games. And, just one of 35 proceeds to play in college while just 1 in 75 makes it to a senior NBA team. This is very difficult from the perspective of the game as well. The big joke is that scientists think the possibility of a meteorite strike on earth is around 1 to 1.6 million, while that of lighting is 1 in 1 million. These are significant in numbers themselves, and we live every day with such certainty.

The Lot Max is one such lottery system that works on probability. This is 1 in 13.3 million that is 3610 times more likely to than the March Madness bracket. Quintuplets also occur once in 55 million natural births, as per pediatricians. And, this has become the major spotlight this season. By comparing these figures to other natural events, one can recognize the height of optimism.

Even Gregg Nigi, who came a bit close to the perfect bracket in 2019, turns out that he correctly predicted 49 of 49 and made an impressive record. Nevertheless, the perfect bracket means the final 15 games too. So, it was quite a long way. However, after going through this article, you can imagine what kind of odds one has in this tournament. Perhaps, that is the whole point.

This March Madness is all about millions are going to try their luck, despite the above warnings. In any case, numbers these huge do not come by just like that. These are pretty much imaginary because you don’t have any physical significance. But, in the case of lottery and sports betting, these bring up a lot of competition without any regulation. Because of these unchecked upper limits, the charts surge like crazy during the sports betting season.

Mar 26, 2021Emmet Ryan
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This post was published on March 26, 2021
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Emmet Ryan
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