It’s the fifth day of EuroBasket 2022 and the third day of action in Group C in Milan. The evening game is Ukraine taking on hosts Italy
Where and when?
Mediolanum Forum, Milan, Italy. Tip off: 21.00 CEST, 20.00 BST, 11.00 EST, 08.00 PST
Record to date
Ukraine 2-0 (W vs Great Britain, W vs Estonia)
Italy 1-1 (W vs Estonia, L vs Greece)
What do the bookies say?
Italy are clear favourites here at 1/5 while Ukraine are 9/2. The point spread favours Italy with -10.5 points.
What do we say?
The rest day is a huge factor here as Italy will have been emotionally exhausted after coming oh so close against Greece. Ukraine will be in a similar boat mentally, having survived Estonia in a must-win game.
That means Ukraine can be a touch more relaxed about this game, with both of their must-win victories recorded. That makes them dangerous as fear of defeat won’t be as big a factor. Italy however have that combination of Simone Fontecchio’s clear talent and Olimpia Milano chemistry going in their favour coupled with the desire to put on a show for the home fans.
The straight up is easy, Italy for the W. The spread is delicately balanced but I’m going with Italy with the points but only just.
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